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PRINZ Seminar

On the industrial origins of aggregate emission reduction: evidence from a dynamic factor model

Francois Lafond (Oxford University), Xiyu Ren (Oxford University), joint work with Fulvia Marotta


Tuesday 21 November 2023 11:00 - 12:00

This event is both online and in person

SAL 2.04, 2nd Floor Conference Room, Sir Arthur Lewis Building, LSE, 32 Lincoln's Inn Fields, London WC2A 3PH

About this event

We exploit a recently made available panel dataset of UK industry-level greenhouse gas emissions to understand the industrial origins of aggregate emission reduction. After reproducing and extending a number of facts gathered from the literature, we uncover a strong block of co-movement between service industries, which we explain by the way emissions are attributed to industries. To model this parsimoniously, we use a recently introduced block-level dynamic factor model, with which we find that industry-level emission reductions are mostly driven by their idiosyncratic components, with a substantial contribution of higher-level block components and a relatively small contribution of the global factor. Our results provide benchmarks for an emerging literature on business cycle frequency analysis of emissions, and shows that macro factors make limited contributions to declining emissions at the industry level, suggesting that industry-level policies and targets are appropriate.


Participants are expected to adhere to the Events Code of Conduct.


This event will take place in SAL 2.04, 2nd Floor Conference Room, Sir Arthur Lewis Building, LSE, 32 Lincoln's Inn Fields, London WC2A 3PH.

The building is labelled SAL on the map. Enter the building via Lincoln's Inn Fields.

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