Tracking uncertainty at a high frequency is useful in the context of the multiple shocks that have hit the global economy over the past years and to disentangle the sources of uncertainty. This column presents a new monthly text-based measure of uncertainty for 71 advanced and developing economies. The measure suggests that uncertainty has been consistently high since 2016, reaching a peak during the Covid-19 pandemic and seeing a resurgence with the Russian invasion of Ukraine and the associated cost of living crisis.
Hites Ahir, Nicholas Bloom and Davide Furceri
17 December 2022
Vox EU
https://cepr.org/voxeu/columns/tracking-uncertainty-rapidly-changing-global-economic-outlook
This work is published under POID and the CEP's Growth programme.