Donald Trump's announcement of wide-ranging tariffs has threatened to upend the rules of global trade that have been in place for decades, impacting supply chains and businesses across the world.
The US President's plan has been designed, in his words, to be reciprocal. What could be fairer than this? The theory is that the US will charge its trading partners in response to what they charge them.
What this means in practice is that the US will charge a country based on it having a goods trade surplus with the US. Some countries that do not have a notable surplus will still be hit with a universal baseline tariff of 10 per cent. For example, countries in the European Union will be subject to a 20 per cent tariff, while the UK will face the baseline 10 per cent tariff.
Jonathan Haskel
10 April 2025
Imperial College Business School
https://www.imperial.ac.uk/business-school/ib-knowledge/finance/how-protectionism-risks-undermining-the-us-economy/
This work is published under POID and the CEP's Growth programme.