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CEP occasional paper

Has work from home shifted the US electoral map?


Since 2020, the dramatic rise in remote work has coincided with increased geographic mobility in the United States. We examine the relationship between these trends and their effects on the electoral landscape. Using IRS microdata, online job postings, and Census surveys, we find that remote work opportunities concentrate in Democratic-leaning areas, with interstate migration strongly linked to individuals who mostly work from home. Our analysis reveals significant population shifts from Democratic to Republican and swing regions, potentially impacting electoral outcomes in key battleground states.


Peter Lambert and Chris Larkin

4 November 2024     Paper Number CEPOP67

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This work is published under POID and the CEP's Growth programme.